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Public Strategist

Working to make government work better

About/ Stefan Czerniawski

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  • Civil servants civilly serve
  • People, patience and systems – first thoughts on leaving the civil serice
  • Government blogs and government bloggers
  • Relentlessness
  • Law, code and systems

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  • The other side of the tracks
  • The art of distancing
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  • Functional illiteracy
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Aphorism archive

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Aphorism 93

Stefan Czerniawski — 26 September 201326 September 2013

There is a difference – often elided – between a probability and a degree of confidence in a forecast. It is one reason why we are better at avoiding drizzle than financial crises.

John Kay

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